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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 7 | 47 |
| 4 | New York City FC | 30 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 28 | -5 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | New York City FC |
| 36.62% ( | 24.74% ( | 38.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.51% ( | 44.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.14% ( | 66.86% ( |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% ( | 23.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.84% ( | 58.16% ( |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( | 22.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.37% ( | 56.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-1 @ 3.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 4-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 36.62% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.74% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0-2 @ 5.96% ( 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0-4 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | DC United | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Orlando City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Toronto | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 12 |
| 14 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 5 | Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 |
| 10 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |
| 14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 6 |
