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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Chicago Fire | Draw | New York City FC |
39.16% (![]() | 26.5% (![]() | 34.34% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.54% (![]() | 52.46% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.86% (![]() | 74.13% (![]() |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.79% (![]() | 26.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.69% (![]() | 61.3% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.95% (![]() | 29.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.05% (![]() | 64.95% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chicago Fire | Draw | New York City FC |
1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 8.44% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 39.16% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.61% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 9.41% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.79% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.82% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.21% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 17 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 17 |
3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 14 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 12 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 |
7 | Orlando City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 11 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Toronto | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 8 |
11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
12 | DC United | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
13 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -14 | 3 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 17 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 |
4 | Dallas | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 8 |
11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 6 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | -9 | 3 |