Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Santos had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (11.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Santos
37.34% ( -0.11)	29.09% ( -0.05)	33.56% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 44.5% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.77% (

0.17)

62.23% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.09% (

0.12)

81.9% (

-0.12)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.97% (

0.02)

32.03% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.5% (

0.02)

68.5% (

-0.02)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.47% (

0.2)

34.53% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.75% (

0.21)

71.25% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Vitoria 37.34%

Santos 33.56%

Draw 29.09%

Vitoria	Draw	Santos
1-0 @ 12.59% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.34%	1-1 @ 13.39% 0-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 29.09%	0-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 33.56%