Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
May 18, 2025 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia
2 - 1
Vitoria

da Costa Farias (23'), Araujo (66')
Gilberto (53'), da Costa Farias (59'), Acevedo (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kayzer (54')
Ronald (12'), Claudinho (40'), Erick (41'), Osvaldo (63')
Pepe (71')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Vitoria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Nacional 1-0 Bahia
Wednesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Vitoria

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-1 Vitoria
Thursday, May 15 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 15.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawVitoria
62.93% (-0.13 -0.13)21.81% (0.074999999999999 0.07)15.25% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.34% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.8% (-0.198 -0.2)50.19% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.85% (-0.176 -0.18)72.15% (0.178 0.18)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.63% (-0.108 -0.11)15.36% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.85% (-0.204 -0.2)44.14% (0.206 0.21)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.75% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)45.24% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.87% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)81.13% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 62.93%
    Vitoria 15.26%
    Draw 21.8%
BahiaDrawVitoria
1-0 @ 13.02% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 12.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.61% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.04% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.57% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 62.93%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.95% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.8%
0-1 @ 5.51% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.1% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 15.26%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 22
Bahia
2-0
Vitoria
Ribeiro (15'), Luciano (90+7')
Alerrandro (49'), Alexandre (81'), Yago (90+1')

Esteves (45+3'), Kanu (49'), Carpini (53'), Santos de Alcantara (82'), Oliveira (87')
Carpini (54')
Apr 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 3
Vitoria
2-2
Bahia
Matheuzinho (20'), Leonardo (57')
Naldi (23'), Matheuzinho (42'), Zeca (66')
Teixeira (69'), Stum (72')
Arias (48'), Cuesta (51'), de Pena (90+3')
Nov 11, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 33
Vitoria
2-2
Bahia
Ceara (8', 68')
Ceara (2'), Bruno (73'), Benitez (76')
Nilton (39'), Ramires (72')
Gregore (17'), Brumado (67'), Nilton (84'), Grolli (96')
Jul 22, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 14
Bahia
4-1
Vitoria
Rafael (16'), Vinicius (27'), Tiago (66'), Gilberto (67')
Rafael (2'), Fonseca (70'), Tiago (91')
Lucas (73')
Jeferson (2'), Bou (15'), Arouca (47'), Bryan (65'), Luan (74')
Bryan (75')
Jul 2, 2017 8pm
Vitoria
0-0
Bahia
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FlamengoFlamengo117312442024
2Cruzeiro11722178923
3BragantinoBragantino11722148623
4PalmeirasPalmeiras11713128422
5Fluminense116231512320
6Botafogo11533147718
7Bahia115331111018
8Mirassol114521712517
9Atletico Mineiro114521110117
10CearaCeara114341311215
11Corinthians114341214-215
12Gremio114341114-315
13Sao Paulo11263911-212
14InternacionalInternacional112541216-411
15Vasco da GamaVasco113171115-410
16Vitoria112451014-410
17FortalezaFortaleza112451015-510
18SantosSantos11227812-48
19JuventudeJuventude11227824-168
20Sport RecifeSport11038518-133
> Brasileiro Full Table


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