Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 1, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Leonidas Sodre de Castro
Paysandu0 - 1Bahia
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Third Round clash between Paysandu and Bahia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-1 Bahia
Sunday, April 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 27 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
6
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paysandu win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paysandu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paysandu | Draw | Bahia |
42.32% ( 0.42) | 26.47% ( -0.05) | 31.21% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 51.53% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
