Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Bahia and Atletico Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Ceara
Tuesday, April 22 at 12am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, April 22 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
5
Last Game: Internacional 3-0 Atletico Nacional
Thursday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, April 10 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 66.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Atletico Nacional had a probability of 12.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.73%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for an Atletico Nacional win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
66.04% ( -1.64) | 21.28% ( 0.78) | 12.67% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 41.54% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
