Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia1 - 0Boston River
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Bahia and Boston River.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boston River 0-0 Bahia
Friday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, March 7 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Goals
for
for
0
Last Game: Progreso 2-2 Boston River
Sunday, March 9 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, March 9 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
5
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 75.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 8.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.73%) and 3-0 (11.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Boston River win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Boston River |
75.38% ( -0.56) | 16.39% ( 0.42) | 8.23% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 40.76% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
