Boston River logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 22, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Campeones Olimpicos

Boston River
2 - 3
Nacional

Gonzalez (41'), Viera (54')
Anello (40'), Gonzalez (48'), Suarez Rodriguez (74'), Amado (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Millan (45+3'), Oliva (49'), Vargas (85' pen.)
Oliva (32'), Recoba (44')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Boston River

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-0 Nublense
Wednesday, February 19 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Progreso 1-5 Nacional
Sunday, February 16 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 20.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.24%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Boston RiverDrawNacional
20.22% (1.795 1.8)26.58% (1.517 1.52)53.19% (-3.316 -3.32)
Both teams to score 42.09% (-1.265 -1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.32% (-3.107 -3.11)60.68% (3.105 3.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.25% (-2.401 -2.4)80.75% (2.399 2.4)
Boston River Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.68% (0.23999999999999 0.24)45.31% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.82% (0.19 0.19)81.18% (-0.191 -0.19)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.96% (-2.664 -2.66)23.04% (2.662 2.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.14% (-4.07 -4.07)56.86% (4.068 4.07)
Score Analysis
    Boston River 20.22%
    Nacional 53.18%
    Draw 26.57%
Boston RiverDrawNacional
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.965 0.97)
2-1 @ 4.8% (0.237 0.24)
2-0 @ 3.27% (0.401 0.4)
3-1 @ 1.27% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 0.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 20.22%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.52 0.52)
0-0 @ 10.43% (1.148 1.15)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 15.32% (0.56 0.56)
0-2 @ 11.24% (-0.5 -0.5)
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.331 -0.33)
0-3 @ 5.51% (-0.724 -0.72)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.54 -0.54)
0-4 @ 2.02% (-0.457 -0.46)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.349 -0.35)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 53.18%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 15
Nacional
3-1
Boston River
Zabala (86'), Petit Abad (87'), Lopez (90+5' pen.)
Sebastian Amaro Mello (62')
Suhr (45+1')
Vera (30'), Beltran (90')
Jul 28, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-0
Boston River
Castro (17')
Baez (33'), Gonzalez (90+4')

Cougo (35'), Damiani (41'), Mancebo (78')
Jun 4, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 15
Boston River
1-3
Nacional
Gomez (60')
Franco Allala (44'), Rodriguez (72'), Damiani (74'), Acosta (90+4')
Bentancourt (12'), Carneiro (45+7' pen.), Santander (69')
Baez (17'), Bentancourt (36'), Santander (74')
Oct 20, 2023 12.15am
Gameweek 6
Boston River
2-0
Nacional
Gutierrez (25'), Rodriguez (61')
Franco Allala (38'), Cougo (78')

Carneiro (51'), Rodriguez (69'), Romero (90+3')
Mar 11, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 6
Nacional
3-1
Boston River
Ramirez (36' pen.), Bocanegra (75'), Gigliotti (90+3')
Acuna (55')