MX23RW : Saturday, May 24 19:41:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 16, 2025 at 8pm UK
Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

Progreso
1 - 5
Nacional

Fernandez (52')
Jorge Alberto Silva (25'), Alberto Ordonez Esterilla (47'), Colombino (53'), Silvera (55'), Gonzalez (67'), Pinheiro Goggia (81')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Recoba (11'), Herazo (17'), Lopez (36' pen., 63' pen.), Gustavo Arady Mata (84')
Millan (41'), Lopez (49'), Oliva (55')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro Largo 4-1 Progreso
Friday, February 7 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 1-1 Penarol
Sunday, February 9 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 71.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 10.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.14%) and 0-3 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Progreso win it was 1-0 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
ProgresoDrawNacional
10.21% (-0.252 -0.25) 18.36% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 71.43% (0.286 0.29)
Both teams to score 42.43% (-0.77 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65% (-0.535 -0.54)47.34% (0.529 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (-0.497 -0.5)69.56% (0.492 0.49)
Progreso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.18% (-0.835 -0.84)51.81% (0.83 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.11% (-0.557 -0.56)85.88% (0.551 0.55)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.06% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)11.93% (0.071 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.7% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)37.3% (0.15 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Progreso 10.21%
    Nacional 71.42%
    Draw 18.36%
ProgresoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 4.07% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-1 @ 2.84% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-0 @ 1.34% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 10.21%
1-1 @ 8.64% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.02% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 18.36%
0-2 @ 13.97% (0.23 0.23)
0-1 @ 13.14% (0.25 0.25)
0-3 @ 9.9% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
1-3 @ 6.51% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 5.26% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.46% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-5 @ 2.24% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.47% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 71.42%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2024 12am
Gameweek 5
Progreso
0-3
Nacional

Alles (18'), Asconeguy (33'), Gonzalez (60'), Lemmo (78'), Castillo (81')
Coates (45+2'), Mereles de la Quintana (60'), Recoba (66')
Castro (12'), Bentancourt (13')
Mar 23, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 5
Nacional
0-0
Progreso
Zabala (72'), Santander (89'), Polenta (90+7')
Viera (18'), Marta (31'), Colman (60'), Lemmo (87'), Silva (89')
Sep 19, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Nacional
0-1
Progreso

Rodriguez (52'), Ocampo (60'), Polenta (89'), Fernandez (90+4')
Colman (57')
Olaizola (4'), Asconeguy (45'), Andrada (64'), Gottesman (90+4')
May 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 2
Progreso
1-3
Nacional
Fernandez (59')
Ramis (21'), Alles (33'), Asconeguy (43'), Paiva (87')
Rojo (68')
Bergessio (37'), Fernandez (41'), Trezza (87')
Bergessio (33'), Candido (51'), Ocampo (60'), Corujo (74'), Garcia (83')
Feb 18, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Progreso
0-1
Nacional

Viega (28'), Sosa (57')
Bergessio (44')
Bergessio (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Montevideo WanderersWanderers00000000
2LiverpoolLiverpool00000000
3Cerro Largo00000000
4River PlateRiver Plate00000000
5PenarolPenarol00000000
6CerroCerro00000000
7Defensor SportingDefensor00000000
8Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia00000000
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing11002023
2NacionalNacional11001013
3Montevideo City TorqueTorque00000000
4DanubioDanubio00000000
5Juventud00000000
6Miramar Misiones00000000
7ProgresoProgreso100101-10
8Boston RiverBoston River100102-20
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010


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