Sao Paulo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
May 24, 2025 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
0 - 2
Mirassol


Maia (22'), Ferraresi (50'), Alisson (58'), Silva (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gabriel (53'), Reinaldo (89' pen.)
Moura (12'), Goncalves Dias Neto (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Mirassol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nautico 1-2 Sao Paulo
Wednesday, May 21 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Internacional 1-1 Mirassol
Monday, May 19 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 66.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Mirassol had a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Mirassol win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Sao PauloDrawMirassol
66.02% (0.072000000000003 0.07)20.64% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)13.34% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.11% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (0.135 0.13)49.23% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (0.122 0.12)71.29% (-0.125 -0.13)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92% (0.064000000000007 0.06)14.08% (-0.068 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.32% (0.13 0.13)41.68% (-0.133 -0.13)
Mirassol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.51% (0.042000000000002 0.04)47.49% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.14% (0.031000000000002 0.03)82.85% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 66.01%
    Mirassol 13.34%
    Draw 20.64%
Sao PauloDrawMirassol
1-0 @ 13.1% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 8.4% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.12% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.07% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.61% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 66.01%
1-1 @ 9.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.56% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 20.64%
0-1 @ 4.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 13.34%