Bragantino
Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
May 5, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Cicero de Souza Marques

Bragantino
1 - 0
Mirassol

Pitta (90+2')
Pitta (90+3'), Henrique (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Moura (45+2'), Aldo Soares de Oliveira Filho (77'), Castilho (90+7')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bragantino and Mirassol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bragantino

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 1-0 Bragantino
Thursday, May 1 at 10.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Mirassol

All competitions
Last Game: Mirassol 2-2 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, April 26 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Mirassol had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Mirassol win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bragantino in this match.

Result
BragantinoDrawMirassol
55.89% (-0.443 -0.44)24.36% (0.135 0.13)19.74% (0.304 0.3)
Both teams to score 47.26% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.53% (-0.146 -0.15)53.47% (0.142 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.01% (-0.124 -0.12)74.99% (0.119 0.12)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.98% (-0.224 -0.22)19.02% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.41% (-0.373 -0.37)50.59% (0.369 0.37)
Mirassol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.36% (0.255 0.25)41.64% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.88% (0.222 0.22)78.12% (-0.226 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 55.88%
    Mirassol 19.74%
    Draw 24.36%
BragantinoDrawMirassol
1-0 @ 13.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.9% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.04% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.29% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 55.88%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.92% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 24.36%
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.087 0.09)
1-2 @ 5.04% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.059 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.47% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 19.74%