Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 47.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.68%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bragantino in this match.