Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.