Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventude would win this match.