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PSG2 - 1Arsenal
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The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 3 at 4pm in Ligue 1
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.38%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Arsenal | 
| 52.38% (  1.2) | 22.89% (  -0.12) | 24.72% (  -1.08) | 
| Both teams to score 58.43% (  -0.71) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
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