Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 72.35%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 10.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (3.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.