Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.