Premier League | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
St. James' Park
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result |
Newcastle United | Draw | Crystal Palace |
54.45% ( 3.41) | 22.87% ( -0.57) | 22.68% ( -2.84) |
Both teams to score 56.02% ( -1.37) |
56.11% ( -0.29) | 43.89% ( 0.3) |
33.72% ( -0.29) | 66.28% ( 0.29) |
83.96% ( 1.11) | 16.04% ( -1.11) |