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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Selhurst Park
Aston Villa logo

Crystal Palace
4 - 1
Aston Villa

Sarr (29', 71'), Mateta (59'), Nketiah (90+1')
Hughes (35'), Munoz (45+2'), Lerma (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rogers (52')
Bailey (82')

The Match

Match Report

Crystal Palace secure a fantastic 4-1 win over Aston Villa in the Premier League on Tuesday, as Ismaila Sarr celebrates his 27th birthday with a brilliant brace.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Aston Villa could line up in Tuesday's Premier League clash with Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 0-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Chelsea
Saturday, February 22 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
38.43% (0.328 0.33) 25.89% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 35.68% (-0.39 -0.39)
Both teams to score 54.55% (-0.233 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.26% (-0.284 -0.28)49.74% (0.279 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.25% (-0.254 -0.25)71.75% (0.251 0.25)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (0.048000000000002 0.05)25.36% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (0.067 0.07)60.15% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (-0.363 -0.36)26.91% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (-0.477 -0.48)62.24% (0.473 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 38.43%
    Aston Villa 35.68%
    Draw 25.89%
Crystal PalaceDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.43% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.42% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 38.43%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.96% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 35.68%

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa

Crystal Palace
27.0%
Draw
22.6%
Aston Villa
50.4%
252
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Aston Villa
2-2
Crystal Palace
Watkins (36'), Barkley (77')
Carlos (59'), Maatsen (66'), Buendia (85')
Sarr (4'), Devenny (45+1')
Chalobah (77'), Mitchell (87')
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
Round of 16
Aston Villa
1-2
Crystal Palace
Duran (23')
Carlos (67'), Mings (89')
Eze (8'), Kamada (64')
Mateta (76'), Hughes (78'), Munoz (90+1'), Guehi (90+4')
May 19, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 38
Crystal Palace
5-0
Aston Villa
Mateta (9', 39', 63'), Eze (54', 69')
Andersen (24')

McGinn (18'), Digne (58'), Luiz (73'), Lenglet (90+2')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Aston Villa
3-1
Crystal Palace
Duran (87'), Luiz (90+8' pen.), Bailey (90+11')
McGinn (17'), Zaniolo (45+4'), Cash (86'), Duran (90+15'), Bailey (90+14')
Edouard (47')
Eze (17'), Hughes (53'), Ward (90+8')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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