Aston Villa

2 - 1

Chelsea

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.