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Chelsea logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa logo
Chelsea
0 - 0
Aston Villa

Silva (9')
FT

Tielemans (46')
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Friday's FA Cup clash between Chelsea and Aston Villa.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Chelsea and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Chelsea could line up for Friday's FA Cup fourth-round clash with Aston Villa.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Chelsea's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their FA Cup fourth-round clash with Aston Villa on Friday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 6-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Everton 0-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, January 14 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Chelsea 2-1 Aston Villa

There ought to be no repeat of Chelsea's six-star showing against Middlesbrough this Friday, as Pochettino's jelly-legged side square up to an Aston Villa crop with 11 days of rest under their belt, but attacking incisiveness has evaded the Lions in their last couple of contests. With the Blues also consigning their previous Stamford Bridge woes to the past and boasting competent options for change in all areas of the field, we have faith in the capital outfit to eke out another home victory and continue their bid for a pair of cup crowns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
ChelseaDrawAston Villa
53.5% (0.126 0.13) 22.18% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 24.32% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 60.5% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.09% (0.145 0.15)38.91% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.77% (0.15300000000001 0.15)61.23% (-0.15 -0.15)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.39% (0.094999999999999 0.09)14.61% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.3% (0.177 0.18)42.7% (-0.177 -0.18)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.84% (0.016000000000005 0.02)29.16% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)65.09% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 53.51%
    Aston Villa 24.32%
    Draw 22.17%
ChelseaDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.84% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 3% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.43% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.85% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 53.51%
1-1 @ 10.09% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 24.32%

How you voted: Chelsea vs Aston Villa

Chelsea
61.5%
Draw
12.0%
Aston Villa
26.4%
299
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 6
Chelsea
0-1
Aston Villa

Jackson (50'), Chilwell (90')
Gusto (58')
Watkins (73')
Digne (44'), Martinez (90+4'), Luiz (90+1')
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 29
Chelsea
0-2
Aston Villa
Watkins (18'), McGinn (56')
Dec 11, 2022 2.10pm
Club Friendlies
Aston Villa
1-0
Chelsea
McGinn (7')
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Aston Villa
0-2
Chelsea
Mount (6', 65')
Dec 26, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Aston Villa
1-3
Chelsea
James (28' og.)
Martinez (33'), Mings (65'), Konsa (90+2')
Jorginho (34' pen., 90+3'), Lukaku (56')
Alonso (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23156252223051
2Manchester CityMan City22154354252949
3Arsenal23154447222549
4Aston Villa23144549301946
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs23135549351444
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd2312293132-138
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham2310673636036
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton239864238435
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle231031048371133
10Wolverhampton WanderersWolves239593737032
11Chelsea2394103839-131
12Bournemouth227693041-1127
13Fulham2375113038-826
14Crystal Palace2366112640-1424
15Brentford2264123239-722
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2356122841-1321
17Luton TownLuton2255123242-1020
18Everton2385102630-419
19Burnley2334162447-2313
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2324171959-4010

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