Atletico Madrid 0-1 Athletic Bilbao - Copa del Rey Semi-Finals - Football

0 - 1

(Click here for second leg)

Mandava (23'), Simeone (24'), Simeone (65'), De Paul (83')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Berenguer (25' pen.)
Prados (37'), Vivian (45+2'), Gomez (71'), Ruiz de Galarreta (90+7')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Atletico Madrid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico
Sunday, February 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 4-0 Mallorca
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Athletic Bilbao

Atletico have gone over a year without losing a competitive game at the Metropolitano, and having won 11 of their last 13 home matches against Athletic, we think that the hosts will do enough to claim a narrow victory in the first leg of the semi-final tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Athletic Bilbao has a probability of 32.58% and a draw has a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.65%).

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
40.8% ( 1.98)	26.61% ( 0.06)	32.58% ( -2.03)

Both teams to score 51.57% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.72% (

-0.6)

53.28% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.17% (

-0.51)

74.83% (

0.51)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.3% (

0.8)

25.71% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.37% (

1.07)

60.63% (

-1.07)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.41% (

-1.61)

30.59% (

1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.18% (

-1.96)

66.82% (

1.96)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 40.8%

Athletic Bilbao 32.59%

Draw 26.61%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.8%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.11% Total : 32.59%

How you voted: Atletico vs Athletic Bilbao

Atletico Madrid

82.7%

Draw

11.2%

Athletic Bilbao

6.1%

Head to Head

Dec 16, 2023 3.15pm

Gameweek 17

2-0

Guruzeta (51'), Williams (64')

De Paul (49')

Feb 19, 2023 5.30pm

Gameweek 22

1-0

Griezmann (73')

Oct 15, 2022 8pm

Gameweek 9

0-1

Griezmann (47')

Apr 30, 2022 8pm

Gameweek 34

2-0

Hermoso (8' og.), Williams (56' pen.)
Garcia (25'), Williams (68'), Berenguer (90+1')

Hermoso (1'), Mandava (18'), Lodi (71')

Jan 13, 2022 7pm

Semi-Finals

1-2

Simeone (62' og.)
Vrsaljko (90+1')
Gimenez (90+3')

Alvarez (77'), Williams (81')
Martinez (83'), Vesga (90'), Williams (90+1')