

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Granada had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Atletico Madrid | 
| 29.19% (  0.78) | 24.93% (  0.18) | 45.87% (  -0.96) | 
| Both teams to score 55.41% (  -0.08) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.41% (  -0.34) | 47.58% (  0.34) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.21% (  -0.32) | 69.79% (  0.32) | 
| Granada Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.96% (  0.38) | 30.04% (  -0.38) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.83% (  0.46) | 66.17% (  -0.46) | 
| Atletico Madrid Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.21% (  -0.56) | 20.79% (  0.56) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.56% (  -0.88) | 53.44% (  0.88) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Granada | Draw | Atletico Madrid | 
| 1-0 @ 7.51% (  0.19) 2-1 @ 7.09% (  0.13) 2-0 @ 4.52% (  0.16) 3-1 @ 2.84% (  0.08) 3-2 @ 2.23% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 1.81% (  0.08) Other @ 3.19% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 11.79% (  0.09) 0-0 @ 6.25% (  0.09) 2-2 @ 5.57% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 9.81% (  -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.27% (  -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.71% (  -0.16) 1-3 @ 4.85% (  -0.13) 0-3 @ 4.03% (  -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.92% (  -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.91% (  -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.58% (  -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.15% (  -0.04) Other @ 2.66% Total : 45.87% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 | 
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 | 
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 | 
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 | 
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 | 
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 | 
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 | 
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 | 
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 | 
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 | 
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 | 
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 | 
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 | 
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 | 
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