La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Granada0 - 3Sevilla
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Granada
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Granada 1-1 Sevilla
This is such a difficult match to call, as both sides have had very tough campaigns to date. Sevilla are in crisis mode, but Granada have only won once in the league this season, so it is difficult to back them, which has led to us predicting a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Sevilla |
30.55% ( -0.13) | 25.25% ( 0.06) | 44.2% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.13% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
