

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Sevilla |
| 40.32% ( | 26.33% ( | 33.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.05% ( | 51.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.31% ( | 73.68% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( | 25.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.86% ( | 60.14% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( | 29.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.59% ( | 65.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 4-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.32% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0-0 @ 7.46% ( 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.35% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 79 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 69 | 33 | 36 | 75 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 67 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 61 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 58 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 57 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 47 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 46 |
| 9 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 44 |
| 11 | Mallorca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 44 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 43 |
| 13 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 39 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 39 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 38 |
| 16 | GironaGirona | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 38 |
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 35 |
| 18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 32 |
| 19 | Leganes | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 31 |
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 83 | -58 | 16 |
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