Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.7%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-0 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
