

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 65.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 13.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.58%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Sevilla |
| 13.06% | 21.56% | 65.38% |
| Both teams to score 41.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.62% | 53.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.08% | 74.92% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.52% | 50.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.01% | 84.99% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% | 15.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.35% | 44.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 5.4% 2-1 @ 3.42% 2-0 @ 1.84% Other @ 2.4% Total : 13.06% | 1-1 @ 10.01% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 3.18% Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 14.64% 0-2 @ 13.58% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-3 @ 8.41% 1-3 @ 5.75% 0-4 @ 3.9% 1-4 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-5 @ 1.45% 1-5 @ 0.99% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.82% Total : 65.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 11 | 49 | 82 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 32 | 38 | 71 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 69 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 62 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 57 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 52 |
| 7 | GironaGirona | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 48 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 47 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 46 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 44 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Valencia | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 37 |
| 15 | Almeria | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 36 |
| 16 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 35 |
| 17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 30 | 57 | -27 | 35 |
| 18 | Getafe | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 34 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 31 |
| R | ElcheElche | 33 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 25 | 64 | -39 | 16 |
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