Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Apr 8, 2023 at 2.05am UK
Estadio Cuauhtémoc
Puebla
1 - 2
Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Toluca.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juarez 0-2 Puebla
Saturday, April 1 at 4am in Liga MX
Saturday, April 1 at 4am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Toluca 3-2 Tigres
Sunday, April 2 at 7pm in Liga MX
Sunday, April 2 at 7pm in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Puebla win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toluca in this match.
| Result | ||
| Puebla | Draw | Toluca |
30.79% ( -0.11) | 24.55% ( -0.04) | 44.66% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.61% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
