Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 52.43%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.