Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Perth Glory in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Perth Glory.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Macarthur | 
| 38.85% ( | 23.66% ( | 37.49% ( | 
| Both teams to score 62.78% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.83% ( | 39.17% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 38.5% ( | 61.49% ( | 
| Perth Glory Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.56% ( | 20.44% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.11% ( | 52.89% ( | 
| Macarthur Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.91% ( | 21.09% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.08% ( | 53.91% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Perth Glory | Draw | Macarthur | 
| 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 4-0 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 38.85%  | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.81% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.66%  | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0-2 @ 5.22% ( 1-3 @ 4.3% ( 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.8% Total : 37.49%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 
| 3 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 
| 4 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | 
| 8 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | 
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | 
| 10 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 
| 11 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | 
| 12 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 | 
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