

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 46.18% ( | 24.85% ( | 28.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( | 47.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.45% ( | 69.55% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( | 20.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.93% ( | 53.07% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.93% ( | 30.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.8% ( | 66.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 3-3 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0-3 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 28.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
| 8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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