Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
32.49% (![]() | 24.87% (![]() | 42.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.14% (![]() | 45.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.83% (![]() | 68.17% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.02% (![]() | 26.98% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.68% (![]() | 62.33% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.48% (![]() | 21.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.41% (![]() | 54.59% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 7.66% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.61% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.49% | 1-1 @ 11.68% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.81% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.97% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.92% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.85% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.6% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 2.52% Total : 42.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
3 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
4 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
8 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
10 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
11 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
12 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |