Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
48.34% (![]() | 24.2% (![]() | 27.46% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.52% (![]() | 45.47% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.19% (![]() | 67.8% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.09% (![]() | 18.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.6% (![]() | 50.4% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.77% (![]() | 30.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.61% (![]() | 66.38% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
1-0 @ 9.52% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.93% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.34% | 1-1 @ 11.38% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.84% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 27.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 34 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 28 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 27 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 24 |
7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 24 |
8 | Macarthur | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 21 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 17 |
11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 |
12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 16 |
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