Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 48.34%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 48.34% ( | 24.2% ( | 27.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.52% ( | 45.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.19% ( | 67.8% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% ( | 18.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.6% ( | 50.4% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( | 30.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.61% ( | 66.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.25% Total : 48.34% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.2% | 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0-2 @ 4.09% ( 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 27.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 34 |
| 2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 27 |
| 4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 25 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
| 6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 24 |
| 8 | Macarthur | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 21 |
| 9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 17 |
| 11 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 16 |
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