Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 47.01% ( | 25.23% ( | 27.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.3% ( | 49.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.28% ( | 71.71% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( | 21.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.98% ( | 54.02% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( | 32.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.3% ( | 68.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 10.58% ( 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.51% Total : 47.01% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 39 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 83 |
| 2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 39 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 78 | 31 | 47 | 81 |
| 3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 40 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 81 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 39 | 23 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 75 |
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 39 | 19 | 10 | 10 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 67 |
| 6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 40 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 67 |
| 7 | Derby CountyDerby | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 67 |
| 8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 40 | 18 | 8 | 14 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 62 |
| 9 | Portsmouth | 40 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 62 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 39 | 16 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 55 |
| 11 | Exeter CityExeter | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 58 | 52 | 6 | 53 |
| 12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 40 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 52 |
| 13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 40 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 50 |
| 14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 39 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 49 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 48 |
| 16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 45 |
| 17 | Port Vale | 40 | 12 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 45 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 49 | 71 | -22 | 45 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 40 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 57 | -20 | 41 |
| 20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 39 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 39 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 38 |
| 22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 39 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 36 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 41 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 38 | 71 | -33 | 34 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 40 | 6 | 8 | 26 | 29 | 74 | -45 | 26 |
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