Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Oxford United |
| 35.06% ( | 25.38% ( | 39.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( | 47.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( | 69.77% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( | 26.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.64% ( | 61.36% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( | 23.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.08% ( | 57.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 4-1 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 35.06% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0-2 @ 6.44% ( 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 2-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2% Total : 39.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 33 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 60 | 22 | 38 | 74 |
| 2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 34 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 65 | 31 | 34 | 66 |
| 4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 63 |
| 5 | Derby CountyDerby | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 31 | 24 | 61 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 60 |
| 7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 54 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 52 |
| 9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 51 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 33 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 44 |
| 12 | Exeter CityExeter | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 43 |
| 13 | Port Vale | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 43 |
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 42 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 47 | 55 | -8 | 42 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
| 17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
| 18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 36 |
| 19 | Burton Albion | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 35 |
| 20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 34 |
| 21 | Morecambe | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 32 |
| 22 | MK Dons | 35 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 31 | 54 | -23 | 30 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 29 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 35 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 23 |
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