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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
55.63% ( -0.08) | 22.83% ( -0.06) | 21.55% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 54.61% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.98% ( 0.42) | 45.02% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.63% ( 0.4) | 67.38% ( -0.4) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.97% ( 0.12) | 16.03% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.62% ( 0.21) | 45.38% ( -0.21) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.04% ( 0.37) | 34.96% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.3% ( 0.39) | 71.71% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.63% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.82% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 21.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 61 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 61 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 55 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 53 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 53 |
6 | Barnsley | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 47 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 44 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 44 |
9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 44 |
10 | Portsmouth | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 37 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Port Vale | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
16 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 34 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 29 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 29 |
19 | MK Dons | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 28 |
20 | Burton Albion | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 28 |
21 | Morecambe | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 27 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 45 | -20 | 26 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 26 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 24 | 57 | -33 | 21 |
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