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Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at The Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd
3 - 1
Charlton
Bodin (20'), Taylor (24'), O'Donkor (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Leaburn (67')
Chin (45'), Leaburn (66'), Payne (77')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Oxford United and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Charlton Athletic

Both teams are struggling for form in the league, but the introduction of Holden may have a positive effect on the visitors after an opening draw, and we see them being boosted and ending their winless run on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
55.63% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 22.83% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 21.55% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 54.61% (0.386 0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (0.416 0.42)45.02% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (0.39700000000001 0.4)67.38% (-0.39700000000001 -0.4)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97% (0.11800000000001 0.12)16.03% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.62% (0.214 0.21)45.38% (-0.214 -0.21)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.04% (0.369 0.37)34.96% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.3% (0.386 0.39)71.71% (-0.386 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 55.63%
    Charlton Athletic 21.55%
    Draw 22.82%
Oxford UnitedDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.26% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 55.63%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.67% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 21.55%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Charlton

Oxford United
39.1%
Draw
21.7%
Charlton Athletic
39.1%
23
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Charlton
0-4
Oxford Utd

Leko (10'), Jaiyesimi (23'), Purrington (24'), Inniss (63'), Morgan (77'), Famewo (82')
Clare (62')
Taylor (21', 28'), Baldock (54'), Brannagan (83')
Moore (29'), Sykes (53'), Taylor (63'), Brown (72')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-1
Charlton
Williams (23'), Brannagan (31')
Rodriguez (37'), Taylor (89')
Washington (36' pen.)
Stockley (67'), Famewo (87')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Charlton
2-0
Oxford Utd
Washington (32'), Shinnie (45+1')
Watson (47'), Inniss (61'), Gunter (73')
Inniss (66')

Rodriguez (25'), Taylor (62'), Moore (87'), Kelly (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28187348183061
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29187451302161
3Ipswich TownIpswich291510454292555
4Derby CountyDerby28158545212453
5Bolton WanderersBolton30158738231553
6Barnsley27145836261047
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough271421145321344
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe281351038271144
9Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury29135113631544
10Portsmouth2791173533238
11Exeter CityExeter29108114241138
12Charlton AthleticCharlton2891094339437
13Bristol Rovers29107124352-937
14Port Vale29107122940-1137
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd3098133436-235
16Lincoln CityLincoln2771372730-334
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood28611113133-229
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham2885152335-1229
19MK Dons2984172740-1328
20Burton Albion2877143756-1928
21Morecambe2869133145-1427
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2768132545-2026
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2875162447-2326
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3056192457-3321

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