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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
43.98% (![]() | 26.25% | 29.77% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2% (![]() | 52.8% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.58% (![]() | 74.42% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% (![]() | 23.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.93% (![]() | 58.07% (![]() |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.68% (![]() | 32.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.18% (![]() | 68.82% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 8.94% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.91% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.35% ( ![]() Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.98% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 8.72% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.05% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 29.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 30 | 8 | 7 | 79 | 46 | 33 | 98 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 45 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 99 | 33 | 66 | 97 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 80 | 37 | 43 | 93 |
4 | Barnsley | 45 | 26 | 8 | 11 | 80 | 45 | 35 | 86 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 45 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 59 | 34 | 25 | 78 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 45 | 21 | 13 | 11 | 67 | 45 | 22 | 76 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 45 | 23 | 5 | 17 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 74 |
8 | Portsmouth | 45 | 17 | 18 | 10 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 69 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 45 | 20 | 8 | 17 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 68 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 45 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 61 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 45 | 13 | 20 | 12 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 59 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 45 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 51 | 49 | 2 | 57 |
13 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 56 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 55 | 68 | -13 | 53 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 53 |
17 | Burton Albion | 44 | 14 | 10 | 20 | 56 | 79 | -23 | 52 |
18 | Port Vale | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 47 | 68 | -21 | 49 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 45 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 47 |
20 | MK Dons | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 44 | 66 | -22 | 44 |
21 | Morecambe | 45 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 45 | 75 | -30 | 44 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 44 | 12 | 7 | 25 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 43 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 76 | -38 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 31 | 87 | -56 | 27 |
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