Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Ipswich Town | 
| 30.87% (  0.29) | 26.28% (  0.09) | 42.85% (  -0.38) | 
| Both teams to score 51.99% (  -0.16) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 47.55% (  -0.27) | 52.45% (  0.26) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.87% (  -0.23) | 74.12% (  0.22) | 
| Port Vale Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.66% (  0.07) | 31.34% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.29% (  0.08) | 67.7% (  -0.08) | 
| Ipswich Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.72% (  -0.31) | 24.27% (  0.3) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.35% (  -0.43) | 58.64% (  0.43) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Port Vale | Draw | Ipswich Town | 
| 1-0 @ 8.83% (  0.11) 2-1 @ 7.25% (  0.04) 2-0 @ 5.12% (  0.07) 3-1 @ 2.8% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 1.99% (  -0) 3-0 @ 1.98% (  0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.87% | 1-1 @ 12.49% (  0.04) 0-0 @ 7.61% (  0.08) 2-2 @ 5.13% (  -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 10.77% (  0.02) 1-2 @ 8.85% (  -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.62% (  -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.17% (  -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.6% (  -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.42% (  -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.48% (  -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.27% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 42.85% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 42 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 45 | 28 | 89 | 
| 2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 42 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 88 | 
| 3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 87 | 
| 4 | Barnsley | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 82 | 
| 5 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 43 | 23 | 4 | 16 | 73 | 51 | 22 | 73 | 
| 6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 72 | 
| 7 | Derby CountyDerby | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 72 | 
| 8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 43 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 68 | 
| 9 | Portsmouth | 43 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 65 | 
| 10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 58 | 
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 42 | 12 | 20 | 10 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 56 | 
| 12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 56 | 
| 13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 54 | 
| 14 | Exeter CityExeter | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 53 | 
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 52 | 
| 16 | Burton Albion | 41 | 13 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 77 | -22 | 49 | 
| 17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 47 | 
| 18 | Port Vale | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 46 | 
| 19 | MK Dons | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 43 | 
| 20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 42 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 41 | 
| 21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 42 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 63 | -27 | 40 | 
| 22 | Morecambe | 43 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 38 | 
| 23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 38 | 
| R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 43 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 81 | -51 | 27 | 
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