Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Reading had a probability of 19.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.