Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palestino in this match.