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Port Vale
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Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK at Vale Park
Port Vale
2 - 2
Forest Green
Odubeko (78'), Harrison (88' pen.)
Garrity (27'), Forrester (36'), Wilson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Peart-Harris (14'), Cargill (37')
Hendry (26'), Wickham (45'), O'Keeffe (74'), Moore-Taylor (76'), McGee (88')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Port Vale have won three of their last five games, including that impressive win at Pride Park last weekend, and while they may not have the most potent attack, they face a Forest Green side who have been very generous in giving up goals. Rovers have won just one of their last six in League One, conceding 14 in the process, and their only away league win of the season came back in July on the opening day so they may struggle again here on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawForest Green Rovers
53.06% (0.092999999999996 0.09) 24.19% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04) 22.75% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.86% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (0.108 0.11)49.45% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51% (0.097000000000001 0.1)71.49% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.076000000000008 0.08)18.58% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (0.128 0.13)49.85% (-0.129 -0.13)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (0.011000000000003 0.01)36.3% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.08% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 53.06%
    Forest Green Rovers 22.75%
    Draw 24.19%
Port ValeDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.55% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.36% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 53.06%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.75%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Forest Green

Port Vale
81.3%
Draw
0.0%
Forest Green Rovers
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7pm
Port Vale
1-1
Forest Green
Stokes (34' og.)
Smith (22')
Collins (41')
Adams (75'), Collins (90+3')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Forest Green
2-3
Port Vale
Winchester (78' pen., 90')
Kitching (45')
Brisley (14'), Pope (38', 70')
Montano (80'), Legge (83'), Brisley (84'), Pope (90')
Clark (87'), Pope (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth24165343251853
2Ipswich TownIpswich24147346242249
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds24147340182249
4Barnsley22124630181240
5Derby CountyDerby23108529171238
6Bolton WanderersBolton2310762720737
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough231121039281135
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe2410593026435
9Port Vale239592431-732
10Portsmouth2171042824431
11Exeter CityExeter248793736131
12Bristol Rovers248793841-331
13Oxford UnitedOxford Utd237882926329
14Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2385102326-329
15Lincoln CityLincoln2261062227-528
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham2284101723-628
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood2351172525026
18Charlton AthleticCharlton2351083334-125
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge2373132134-1324
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2257102134-1322
21Burton Albion2457123245-1322
22MK Dons2363142233-1121
23Forest Green RoversForest Green2455142046-2620
24Morecambe2339111934-1518

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