

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Cheltenham Town | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| 20 | Forest Green Rovers | 8 | -9 | 8 |
| 21 | Accrington Stanley | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | MK Dons | 8 | -3 | 7 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 8 | -11 | 4 |
| 24 | Burton Albion | 8 | -14 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 59.36%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Morecambe |
| 59.36% ( | 22.97% ( | 17.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.15% ( | 50.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.27% ( | 72.73% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.21% ( | 16.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.25% ( | 46.75% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.5% ( | 42.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.13% ( | 78.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% ( 2-0 @ 11.36% ( 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 4-0 @ 3.01% ( 4-1 @ 2.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 5-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.84% Total : 59.36% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 2-2 @ 4.16% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( 1-2 @ 4.66% ( 0-2 @ 2.61% ( 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 2-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 17.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portsmouth | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Port Vale | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 17 |
| 5 | Barnsley | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Exeter CityExeter | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 16 |
| 7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Derby CountyDerby | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 13 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 11 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 9 |
| 18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 7 |
| 19 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 6 |
| 21 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 5 |
| 22 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 23 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 2 |
| 24 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 15 | -15 | 1 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
