| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Portsmouth | 5 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wednesday | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Plymouth Argyle | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Oxford United | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 20 | Forest Green Rovers | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 21 | Cheltenham Town | 5 | -3 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 64.24% ( | 21.18% ( | 14.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.09% ( | 48.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29% ( | 71% ( |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.47% ( | 14.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.45% ( | 42.55% ( |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.58% ( | 45.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.74% ( | 81.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.72% ( 2-0 @ 12.27% 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 3-0 @ 7.9% ( 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 4-0 @ 3.81% ( 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 5-0 @ 1.47% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 5-1 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 64.22% | 1-1 @ 10.04% 0-0 @ 6.6% ( 2-2 @ 3.82% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.17% | 0-1 @ 5.21% ( 1-2 @ 3.97% ( 0-2 @ 2.06% ( 1-3 @ 1.04% 2-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.31% Total : 14.58% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 80 |
| 2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 37 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 64 | 28 | 36 | 78 |
| 3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 37 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 75 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 36 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 72 |
| 5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 64 |
| 6 | Derby CountyDerby | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 64 |
| 7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 38 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 63 |
| 8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 61 |
| 9 | Portsmouth | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 58 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 55 |
| 11 | Exeter CityExeter | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 49 |
| 12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
| 14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 37 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 45 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 | Port Vale | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 45 |
| 17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 43 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 41 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 39 |
| 20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 37 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 35 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 39 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 34 |
| 23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 30 |
| 24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 71 | -42 | 26 |
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