Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.