MX23RW : Tuesday, October 17 16:09:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 6
Sep 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Avenue Ground
Aberystwyth
2 - 4
Caernarfon
Owen (4'), Lewis (26')
Bradford (40'), Jones (66')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Clarke (6', 19'), Davies (71', 90+2')
Lloyd (34')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Aberystwyth Town and Caernarfon Town.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberystwyth Town

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 6-0 Aberystwyth
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-4 Connah's Quay
Friday, September 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberystwyth Town win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberystwyth Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
39.44% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 24.38% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04) 36.18% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.94% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.19% (0.202 0.2)42.81% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.79% (0.201 0.2)65.21% (-0.2 -0.2)
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (0.104 0.1)21.74% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08% (0.157 0.16)54.92% (-0.156 -0.16)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (0.099999999999994 0.1)23.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (0.143 0.14)57.4% (-0.142 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Aberystwyth Town 39.44%
    Caernarfon Town 36.18%
    Draw 24.38%
Aberystwyth TownDrawCaernarfon Town
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.93% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 39.44%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.09% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.96% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 36.18%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Aberystwyth
3-2
Caernarfon
Arnison (39'), Cadwallader (55'), Flint (90+4')
Hughes (2'), Bell (45+1')
Mar 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
0-1
Aberystwyth
Flint (41')
Jan 21, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Aberystwyth
2-1
Caernarfon
Arnison (8'), Flint (77')
Alun (89')
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Caernarfon
2-1
Aberystwyth
O'Rourke (20'), Marsh-Hughes (73')
Litchfield (81')
Apr 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
1-0
Aberystwyth
Morris (71' pen.)
Harrison (28')

Davies (31'), Veale (45'), Jenkins (71'), Orford (72'), Thorn (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints119203782929
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1181231141725
3Newtown AFCNewtown1171321111022
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon115241919017
5Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont115241515017
6Bala TownBala Town1144388016
7Cardiff MUCardiff MU114431115-416
8Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd1133549-512
9Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest112451121-1010
10Colwyn Bay112271220-88
11Barry Town UnitedBarry111371020-106
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth11128625-195
> Welsh Premier League Full Table
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