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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Newtown logo
Caernarfon
2 - 1
Newtown
Mooney (40'), Lloyd (90+1')
Clarke (45+4'), Davies (53'), Mooney (60'), Thomas (84')
Davies (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Williams (90+10')
Evans (18'), Roberts (68'), Ismail (80'), Boakye (84')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Newtown AFC.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Colwyn Bay 0-4 Caernarfon
Sunday, August 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Newtown AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Newtown 1-3 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, August 12 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
43.37% (-0.417 -0.42) 23.9% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 32.72% (0.362 0.36)
Both teams to score 60.8% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.68% (-0.112 -0.11)41.31% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.29% (-0.114 -0.11)63.71% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.226 -0.23)19.3% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94% (-0.369 -0.37)51.06% (0.366 0.37)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (0.16 0.16)24.65% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (0.226 0.23)59.16% (-0.23 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 43.37%
    Newtown AFC 32.72%
    Draw 23.9%
Caernarfon TownDrawNewtown AFC
2-1 @ 9.01% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.94% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 43.37%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.9%
1-2 @ 7.68% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.66% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.043 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.18% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.72%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-3
Newtown
O'Rourke (30'), Edwards (62')
Robles (8'), Williams (27'), Rushton (53')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Newtown
2-1
Caernarfon
Rushton (3'), Williams (23')
Wynne (55')
Williams (49'), Wynne (73')
Oct 23, 2021 5.15pm
Gameweek 10
Newtown
1-0
Caernarfon
Mwandwe (45+2')
Roberts (45'), (88'), Jones (90+5')

Hughes (40'), Edwards (42'), John Williams (58'), Jones (88'), Evans (90+1')
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
0-2
Newtown

Edwards (24'), (82'), Jones (84')
Evans (34')
Evans (52'), Williams (85')
(24')
May 29, 2021 12pm
Caernarfon
3-5
Newtown
Kenny (18'), Thomas (59', 73')
Kenny (9'), Cleworth (76'), (84')
Rushton (39' pen.), Mwandwe (44'), Davies (76', 80', 82')
Mills-Evans (45+5'), Williams (90')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints119203782929
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1181231141725
3Newtown AFCNewtown1171321111022
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon115241919017
5Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont115241515017
6Bala TownBala Town1144388016
7Cardiff MUCardiff MU114431115-416
8Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd1133549-512
9Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest112451121-1010
10Colwyn Bay112271220-88
11Barry Town UnitedBarry111371020-106
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth11128625-195
> Welsh Premier League Full Table
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