
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Almere City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Almere City.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 40.46% ( | 25.72% ( | 33.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.81% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.74% ( | 49.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.68% ( | 71.32% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( | 24.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.65% ( | 58.35% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.19% ( | 27.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.6% ( | 63.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 3-0 @ 3.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.46% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 1-4 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
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