
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for PEC Zwolle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PEC Zwolle.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | PEC Zwolle | 
| 37.73% (  0.27) | 24.38% (  0.18) | 37.89% (  -0.44) | 
| Both teams to score 60.04% (  -0.66) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.28% (  -0.85) | 42.72% (  0.85) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.87% (  -0.85) | 65.13% (  0.85) | 
| Almere City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.44% (  -0.24) | 22.56% (  0.25) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.85% (  -0.37) | 56.15% (  0.37) | 
| PEC Zwolle Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.53% (  -0.6) | 22.47% (  0.6) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.98% (  -0.9) | 56.02% (  0.91) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Almere City | Draw | PEC Zwolle | 
| 2-1 @ 8.39% (  0.04) 1-0 @ 7.55% (  0.23) 2-0 @ 5.62% (  0.13) 3-1 @ 4.17% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% (  -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.79% (  0.04) 4-1 @ 1.55% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% (  -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.04% (  0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.73% | 1-1 @ 11.26% (  0.14) 2-2 @ 6.26% (  -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.07% (  0.19) 3-3 @ 1.55% (  -0.06) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.41% (  -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.57% (  0.15) 0-2 @ 5.65% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 4.19% (  -0.1) 2-3 @ 3.12% (  -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.81% (  -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.56% (  -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.16% (  -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.05% (  -0.04) Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.89% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 | 
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 | 
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 | 
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 | 
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 | 
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 | 
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 | 
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 | 
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 | 
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 | 
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 | 
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
