
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.3% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almere City | Draw | FC Twente |
| 23.3% ( | 22.96% ( | 53.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.38% ( | 43.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.99% ( | 66.01% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.42% ( | 32.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.88% ( | 69.12% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.81% ( | 16.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.34% ( | 45.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almere City | Draw | FC Twente |
| 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 1-0 @ 5.91% ( 2-0 @ 3.32% ( 3-1 @ 2.26% ( 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 3-0 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 23.3% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.95% | 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0-2 @ 8.74% ( 1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0-3 @ 5.31% ( 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 1-4 @ 2.71% ( 0-4 @ 2.42% ( 2-4 @ 1.52% ( 1-5 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 18 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 14 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Heracles | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Ajax | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 1 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
