

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 49.86% ( | 25.1% ( | 25.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.95% ( | 51.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.09% ( | 72.91% ( |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( | 20.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.03% ( | 52.97% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% ( | 35.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.13% ( | 71.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 3-1 @ 5% ( 3-0 @ 4.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.64% Total : 49.85% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 25.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 24 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 13 |
| 5 | Arbroath | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 12 |
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 8 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Greenock MortonMorton | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
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