Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cappielow Park
Morton
2 - 1
Elgin
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Greenock Morton and Elgin City.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Morton 1-4 Partick
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Bonnyrigg Rose 5-1 Elgin
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 65.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 14.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Elgin City |
65.62% ( 0.2) | 20.25% ( -0.09) | 14.13% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
